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https://www.barrons.com/articles/netflix-why-its-virtually-impossible-to-call-it-a-buy-1522853233

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is doing everything investors expect it to do—and the stock price still doesn’t make sense.

That’s the upshot of a Wednesday note from Moffett Nathanson analysts, who simultaneously raised their price target on the
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company’s shares by $40 to $213—about 24% below current levels—and reiterated a “neutral” rating the characterized as “unsatisfying.”

“While we expect Netflix (NFLX) to continue to post strong subscriber growth…we still can’t justify the stock price under any scenario,” they wrote. “We are left with the continued displeasure of believing that the stock is overvalued by not seeing any legitimate fundamental reason for investors to sell.”

Netflix investors, they wrote, have a singular focus on subscriber acquisition, and they might even be underestimating nike air max 2011 review runners world recipes
. But despite that, according to the analysts, “the stock is virtually impossible to justify as a ‘buy’ at these levels under varying valuation methods.”

Here are four they used—and how they got to their price target:

• A valuation based on estimates of the “lifetime value” of a Netflix customer, the analysts wrote, requires too many assumptions about long-term programming expenses and other costs, which could—along with marketing costs—vary widely down the line.

• A discounted cash flow valuation, based on estimates of the cash the business might generate over time, comes up short even with bullish subscriber growth estimates, they wrote: MoffettNathanson figured a share price of $209, below its current target, using that process.

• A sum-of-the-parts valuation that estimated the values of its domestic, overseas and DVD businesses, combines them, and removes debt give them a price target of just $148.

• And a price-to-sales valuation requires a substantial premium to historical multiples to reach $279, roughly the current share price, they wrote.

Their target price, $213, is the average of $279 and the $148 figure discussed above. Shares of Netflix, which are up about 38% in 2018, were off slightly Wednesday morning.

Photo and accompanying text contributed by Richard Telford

Grace is caring for a little bird that was stunned after flying into a window. Here under the shade of the grape pergola is an opportunity to care for and play with a wild creature. Each year we prune these vines and train them to the pergola wires. We watch them grow and extend their summer shade over the sun facing windows, and we keep an eye on the developing grape harvest.

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Kai, 2½, is delighting in a rare summer storm while his father observes erosion control measures. The chains of ponds observed in some stable streams have been replicated here. Rocks have been laid across this diversion channel to slow the flow and catch sediment, and branches laid across the staggered outflow to spread it across the grassed gentle slope in the background. Kai is playing, and learning without trying.

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Social animals survive and thrive by observing and interacting with each other and their environment. By penning geese with newborn goslings on the lawn in front of the home office we can understand their behaviour and hear any alert calls warning of predators.

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Clare finds a quiet space as she harvests salad for a shared community meal. This is also a time for observation and reflection. Clare helped develop an organic market garden at air jordan flight 45 grey white cat
. Observation and learning from the world around us are really only truly valuable if they “reconnect us to the wonder and mystery of life through practical interaction.” [David Holmgren]

Consider a plant with leaves that, when used as a poultice, has the ability to radically speed up wound healing. When eaten they boost the immune system, while the seed heads produce the digestive aid psyllium husk. Where could we find such a remarkable plant? Often within metres of the back door. It is plantain, a plant we usually dismiss as a ‘weed’. However in Norway it’s known as groblad , and in the Isle of Man as slan lus , both translating as ‘healing herb’.

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